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Integration of biomechanical and psychophysiological data into a model for predicting athletes' injuries using lstm networks

https://doi.org/10.21122/2309-4923-2025-3-11-16

Abstract

Modern high-performance sports place increasing demands on athletes’ physical, technical, and psychological preparedness, intensifying the challenge of sports injuries and overtraining. Traditional monitoring methods often lack predictive precision, hindering timely identification of injury risks.This study develops and compares three LSTM-based models for predicting injury risk in runners: one leveraging biomechanical parameters, another using psychophysiological indicators, and an integrated model combining both. Models were developed using data from digital twins of two professional runners, incorporating physiological (heart rate, heart rate variability, lactate levels), biomechanical (joint angles, step symmetry, accelerations), and psychophysiological (sleep quality, fatigue, cognitive responses) metrics. The integrated model demonstrated superior performance, achieving an Accuracy of 0.89, F1-score of 0.87, and AUC-ROC of 0.91. SHAP analysis identified key predictors, including step symmetry, tibial shock, reduced heart rate variability, sleep quality decline, and subjective fatigue. These findings highlight the enhanced predictive power of integrating diverse data types, offering a robust foundation for personalized injury prevention systems in sports.

About the Authors

A. V. Solonets
Belarusian National Technical University
Belarus

A. V. Solonets – PhD of Pedagogic Sciences, Associate Professor.
Head of the Department of Sports Engineering at the Belarusian National Technical University. 

Minsk 



A. S. Snarsky
Belarusian National Technical University
Belarus

A. S. Snarsky – PhD of Engineering Sciences, Associate Professor.
Dean of the Faculty of Industrial and Radiation Safety at the BNTU branch "Interindustry Institute for Advanced Training and Retraining of Personnel in Management and Personnel Development".

Minsk



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For citations:


Solonets A.V., Snarsky A.S. Integration of biomechanical and psychophysiological data into a model for predicting athletes' injuries using lstm networks. «System analysis and applied information science». 2025;(3):11-16. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21122/2309-4923-2025-3-11-16

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ISSN 2309-4923 (Print)
ISSN 2414-0481 (Online)