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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">sapi</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Системный анализ и прикладная информатика</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>«System analysis and applied information science»</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2309-4923</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2414-0481</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Belarusian National Technical University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">sapi-73</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Управление техническими объектами</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>Management of technical objects</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>ПРОГНОЗИРУЮЩАЯ МОДЕЛЬ УПРАВЛЕНИЯ СИСТЕМОЙ ОБЕСПЕЧЕНИЯ МАКСИМАЛЬНОЙ ВЫХОДНОЙ МОЩНОСТИ ФОТОЭЛЕКТРИЧЕСКОЙ СТАНЦИИ</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>MODEL PREDICTIVE CONTROL FOR PHOTOVOLTAIC STATION MAXIMUM POWER POINT TRACKING SYSTEM</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Элзеин</surname><given-names>И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Elzein</surname><given-names>I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">CA_PI@bntu.by</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Петренко</surname><given-names>Ю. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Petrenko</surname><given-names>Yu. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">CA_PI@bntu.by</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Белорусский национальный технический университет</institution><country>Беларусь</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Belarusian National Technical University</institution><country>Belarus</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2015</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>19</day><month>01</month><year>2016</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>17</fpage><lpage>25</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Элзеин И., Петренко Ю.Н., 2016</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2016</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Элзеин И., Петренко Ю.Н.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Elzein I., Petrenko Y.N.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://sapi.bntu.by/jour/article/view/73">https://sapi.bntu.by/jour/article/view/73</self-uri><abstract><p>Представлен альтернативный подход по обеспечению режима максимальной выходной мощности (МВМ) фотоэлектрической станции (ФЭС).</p><p>Рассматриваемая система состоит из солнечных батарей с нелинейными нестационарными характеристиками, работающих в автономном режиме, импульсного преобразователя постоянного тока (ИППТ) повышающего типа и соответствующего фильтра на выходе.</p><p>Для управления ИППТ предлагается использовать прогнозирующую модель, теория которой активно разрабатывается в последнее время отечественными и зарубежными учеными.</p><p>Приводятся уравнения в пространстве состояний и функциональная схема ФЭС. Особенностью системы является возможность работы в реальном времени и наличие наблюдателя нагрузки.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The purpose of this paper is to present an alternative maximum power point tracking, MPPT, algorithm for a photovoltaic module, PVM, to produce the maximum power, Pmax, using the optimal duty ratio, D, for different types of converters and load matching.</p><p>We present a state-based approach to the design of the maximum power point tracker for a stand-alone photovoltaic power generation system. The system under consideration consists of a solar array with nonlinear time-varying characteristics, a step-up converter with appropriate filter.</p><p>The proposed algorithm has the advantages of maximizing the efficiency of the power utilization, can be integrated to other MPPT algorithms without affecting the PVM performance, is excellent for Real-Time applications and is a robust analytical method, different from the traditional MPPT algorithms which are more based on trial and error, or comparisons between present and past states. The procedure to calculate the optimal duty ratio for a buck, boost and buck-boost converters, to transfer the maximum power from a PVM to a load, is presented in the paper. Additionally, the existence and uniqueness of optimal internal impedance, to transfer the maximum power from a photovoltaic module using load matching, is proved.</p></trans-abstract></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Solodovnik E. V., Shengyi Liu, R. A. Dougal. Power Controller Design for Maximum Power Tracking in Solar Installations. IEEE Transactions on PE, vol. 19, no. 5, Sept. 2004, pp.1295–1304</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Solodovnik E. V., Shengyi Liu, R. A. Dougal. Power Controller Design for Maximum Power Tracking in Solar Installations. IEEE Transactions on PE, vol. 19, no. 5, Sept. 2004, pp.1295–1304</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Nevzat Onat. Recent Developments in Maximum Power Point Tracking Technologies for Photovoltaic Systems. 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